La Liga 2025-2026: Levante vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Levante
Home Team
11%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
79%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
58%
Under 2.5:
42%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Betis | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Espanol | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Getafe | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | Betis | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Elche | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Celta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Alaves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Valencia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Girona | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
| 19 | Levante | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 9 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Levante
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 3)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Levante
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.64
# Clean Sheets:
0
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.77
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Levante and Athletic Bilbao sees the latter as the strong favorite to claim victory with a 79.0% probability of winning. With Levante's chances of a home win at just 11.0%, it's clear why Bilbao is expected to dominate. The game is also predicted to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 58.0% likelihood. As it stands, Levante is in a precarious 19th place, fighting against relegation, while Athletic Bilbao is not currently in the top five but looking to improve their standing.
Match Analysis
Levante has struggled significantly in their recent matches, enduring a troubling streak with losses against Valencia, Ath Madrid, and Celta. Their defense has been a particular concern, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five outings without recording any clean sheets. Despite generating an average of 1.518 expected goals, they have not managed to capitalize on their opportunities, scoring just 1.2 goals per game.
In contrast, Athletic Bilbao has seen a mix of results recently. They suffered heavy defeats against Barcelona and Sociedad but managed a narrow win over Oviedo. Their defensive record is slightly better than Levante's, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. However, their attack has been less potent, averaging just 0.4 goals per game. Bilbao's expected goals, at 0.896, suggest they have room for improvement offensively, yet their defensive resilience could be vital against an underperforming Levante side.
Final Prediction
Athletic Bilbao is favored to win due to Levante's defensive struggles and lackluster form. Bilbao's stronger defensive record provides them an edge, which will be crucial in minimizing Levante's scoring chances. Fans should watch for Bilbao's defense to potentially dictate the game's pace, capitalizing on Levante's vulnerability at the back.