La Liga 2025-2026: Mallorca vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Mallorca
Home Team
23%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
59%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 38 |
| 5 | Espanol | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Celta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Elche | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Vallecano | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 | Sociedad | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Getafe | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Girona | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Alaves | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 18 |
| 18 | Valencia | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.16
# Clean Sheets:
1
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.64
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming La Liga clash between Mallorca and Ath Bilbao leans heavily in favor of the visitors. With a 59.0% probability of winning, Ath Bilbao is the predicted victor, while the home team has only a 23.0% chance of pulling out a win. The game is also expected to be low-scoring, with a predicted result under 2.5 goals. Mallorca currently stands at 17th in the league, while Ath Bilbao is not listed among the top 10, indicating their standing might be slightly better.
Match Analysis
Both teams have faced challenges in their recent encounters. Mallorca's last three games have not seen any victories, with losses against Vallecano and Girona, and a draw against Valencia. Their recent performances highlight a consistent struggle to secure wins, although they have managed to average 1.6 goals per game over the last five, indicating some offensive capability. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.
Ath Bilbao, despite being the favorites, have not been in winning form either. They drew against Osasuna and suffered losses to Espanol and Celta. Their attacking prowess has been underwhelming, averaging just one goal per game in their last five outings. The advanced metrics show a balance in expected goals scored and conceded at 1.642 each. This suggests that while they create chances, converting them into goals has been a challenge.
Final Prediction
Ath Bilbao's edge in this matchup comes from their slightly better overall form and league standing compared to Mallorca. The key factor to watch in this game will be Ath Bilbao's ability to convert chances into goals, capitalizing on Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities. With both teams needing points, this match could be a tightly contested affair, but Ath Bilbao's greater win probability gives them the upper hand.