La Liga 2025-2026: Mallorca vs Elche Prediction

Mallorca

Home Team
50%
VS

Elche

Away Team
26%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 20 27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 15 13 31
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 19 16 3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 6 24
7 Betis 16 7 2 7 15 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 17 1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 18 19 -1 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
14 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 19 22 -3 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 23 -9 15
17 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 22 -7 14
18 Girona 15 2 6 7 13 29 -16 12
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 2

Elche

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.98
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Mallorca and Elche in La Liga is predicted to tilt in favor of the home side, with a 50.0% probability of a Mallorca victory. The match is also expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 51.0%. Currently, Mallorca finds themselves in 17th place, precariously close to the relegation zone, while Elche sits slightly more comfortably in 9th position.

Match Analysis

Mallorca's recent form has been a mix of draws and a loss, without a win in their last three games. They managed to secure draws against Oviedo and Osasuna but fell to Villarreal in a close 2-1 defeat. The team's defense has been relatively sturdy, averaging 0.8 goals conceded per game over the last five matches and achieving two clean sheets. Their attack has shown potential, scoring an average of 1.2 goals, backed by expected goals of 1.17, indicating chances are being created but not always converted. Elche, on the other hand, has had a slightly better run, highlighted by a solid 3-0 victory over Girona. They also put up a fight against Real Madrid, securing a 2-2 draw, though they stumbled against Getafe, losing 1-0. Elche's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match recently. Their offensive output has been modest, with an average of 0.6 goals scored, and their expected goals stand at 0.764, suggesting struggles in creating and finishing opportunities.

Final Prediction

Mallorca appears to have the edge given their defensive strength and home advantage, which could prove decisive against an Elche side that has struggled defensively. A key factor to watch will be whether Mallorca can capitalize on their chances, as converting opportunities could be the difference in securing a much-needed victory.