La Liga 2025-2026: Mallorca vs Osasuna Prediction

Mallorca

Home Team
36%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
40%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 28 12 16 32
2 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 36 15 21 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 26 11 15 29
4 Ath Madrid 13 8 4 1 25 11 14 28
5 Betis 13 5 6 2 20 14 6 21
6 Espanol 13 6 3 4 17 16 1 21
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 12 15 -3 17
8 Betis 13 5 2 6 12 17 -5 17
9 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 17 18 -1 16
10 Elche 13 3 7 3 15 16 -1 16
11 Sevilla 13 5 1 7 19 21 -2 16
12 Celta 13 3 7 3 16 18 -2 16
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 12 14 -2 16
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 11 12 -1 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 12 21 -9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 13 20 -7 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 10 16 -6 11
18 Girona 13 2 5 6 12 25 -13 11
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 16 24 -8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 7 20 -13 9

Recent Trends

Mallorca ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 3 - 1)

Osasuna ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 1

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Mallorca and Osasuna is expected to be a tight affair with Osasuna having a slight edge. The probability of Osasuna winning stands at 40.0%, compared to Mallorca's 36.0%. There's a 48.0% probability that the match will feature under 2.5 goals, aligning with recent performances from both sides. Currently, Mallorca is positioned 16th in La Liga, while Osasuna is just behind in 17th place, underscoring the importance of this match for both teams in avoiding relegation.

Match Analysis

Mallorca's recent form has been inconsistent, with a victory over Getafe sandwiched between losses to Villarreal and Betis. They scored once in each of those matches, reflecting their average of 1.0 goals per game over the last five. Despite occasional defensive lapses, they have managed to keep one clean sheet in their recent matches. Their expected goals scored stands at 1.08, indicating potential in attack, although they need to tighten their defense, as their expected goals conceded is 1.29. Osasuna, on the other hand, comes into this match having struggled in recent fixtures, with losses to Sociedad and Sevilla and a scoreless draw against Oviedo. The team has been largely ineffective in front of goal, averaging just 0.2 goals per game in their last five outings. However, they have managed one clean sheet, and their expected goals scored of 1.024 suggests they might be due for an uptick in offensive output. Defensively, they have been porous, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game and an even higher expected goals conceded of 1.786.

Final Prediction

Osasuna might have the edge due to Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities and their own potential to improve in front of goal. The key factor to watch during the game will be how effectively Mallorca can capitalize on their attacking chances and whether Osasuna can break their scoring drought. Both teams are desperate for points to move away from the relegation zone, making this an intriguing matchup for fans.