La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
42%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
31%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Recent Trends

Osasuna ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)

Ath Bilbao ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao is predicted to lean in favor of the home team, Osasuna, with a 42.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao has a 31.0% chance of securing a victory, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 27.0%. Given the current league standings, Osasuna is positioned at 12th, while Athletic Bilbao aims to climb higher in the competitive La Liga table. The game is anticipated to feature less than 2.5 goals, with a 40.0% probability supporting this outcome.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Osasuna has shown resilience, securing two victories in their last three encounters. Their latest win was a commanding 3-0 triumph over Alaves at home, followed by a solid 2-0 victory against Levante, also on their turf. Despite a setback against Barcelona with a 2-0 loss away, Osasuna's form suggests a team capable of delivering strong performances, particularly at home. Key advanced metrics highlight that Osasuna has averaged 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches, while their defense has maintained two clean sheets, indicating a balanced approach on both ends of the pitch. Conversely, Athletic Bilbao's recent track record has been less favorable, with two losses and a single victory in their last three games. Their sole win came against Ath Madrid, a narrow 1-0 victory at home. However, losses to Espanol and Celta, where they conceded a total of four goals, reflect a team struggling to find consistency. With an average of only 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches, Bilbao may find it challenging to break down Osasuna's defense. Their expected goals conceded (1.632) further emphasizes potential vulnerabilities in their backline.

Final Prediction

Osasuna's home advantage and recent form provide them with a slight edge over Athletic Bilbao in this encounter. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity will be crucial factors. Fans should keep an eye on Osasuna's offensive strategies, as their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities could be the decisive factor in this matchup.