La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Levante Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
80%
VS

Levante

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 1

Levante

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.70
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Levante is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, with an 80% probability of Osasuna securing the win. Levante's chances appear slim, at just 9%, while a draw is given an 11% likelihood. The match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals, with Osasuna currently positioned 17th and Levante 19th in the La Liga standings.

Match Analysis

Osasuna's recent form indicates a struggle, with a draw against Mallorca and back-to-back losses against Sociedad and Sevilla. They have managed to score 1.6 goals on average in their last five games, matching their goals conceded. Despite these challenges, their expected goals metrics suggest potential, with an average of 1.374 expected goals scored per game. However, their defense has been leaky with only one clean sheet in recent matches. Levante, on the other hand, is on a concerning losing streak, having lost their last three matches against Ath Bilbao, Valencia, and Ath Madrid. Their offensive output has been low, with only 1 goal scored on average in their last five games, and they have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, with their expected goals conceded standing at a worrying 1.696.

Final Prediction

Osasuna holds the edge in this encounter primarily due to their slightly better offensive potential and home advantage. The key factor to watch will be Osasuna's ability to capitalize on Levante's defensive fragilities, potentially deciding the outcome in their favor. With both teams eager to climb out of the relegation zone, this match promises to be a telling contest in their respective quests for survival.