La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Villarreal Prediction
Osasuna
Home Team
40%
VS
Villarreal
Away Team
35%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Girona | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Elche | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Betis | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Alaves | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Getafe | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Levante | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Osasuna
- Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 0)
Villarreal
- Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Osasuna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.19
# Clean Sheets:
1
Villarreal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.07
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Villarreal is anticipated to be a closely contested battle. With a 40.0% probability, Osasuna is slightly favored to secure a victory over Villarreal, who hold a 35.0% chance of winning. The match is expected to be tight, as the probability of a draw stands at 25.0%. In terms of goals, the game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals. In La Liga's current standings, Villarreal is in a strong 4th position, whereas Osasuna is placed 9th.
Match Analysis
Osasuna enters this match with mixed form, having won two of their last three games, including an impressive 3-1 away victory against Vallecano and a narrow 3-2 win at home over Oviedo. However, they stumbled in their most recent outing, falling 0-1 to Girona. Their recent performances suggest an offensive potential with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game, though their defense has been slightly leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.
On the other hand, Villarreal's recent form has been shaky, with two consecutive losses against Real Madrid and Betis, both ending goalless for the Yellow Submarine. However, they managed to bounce back with a win against Alaves, scoring three times. Villarreal has been consistent in attack, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game, but their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. Their expected goal metrics suggest they might have a slight edge, with an expected 1.908 goals scored per game.
Final Prediction
Osasuna's slight edge in the prediction is attributed to their recent back-to-back victories and home advantage. However, Villarreal's ability to create scoring opportunities and their higher league position could play a crucial role. Fans should keep an eye on the midfield battle, as it could dictate the tempo and create scoring chances for both sides.