La Liga 2025-2026: Oviedo vs Celta Prediction
Oviedo
Home Team
18%
VS
Celta
Away Team
66%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 34 |
| 5 | Espanol | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Betis | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Betis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 23 |
| 8 | Celta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Getafe | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Elche | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Alaves | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Sociedad | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Valencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Girona | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 10 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Oviedo
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
Celta
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Oviedo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.65
# Clean Sheets:
2
Celta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.07
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Oviedo and Celta is expected to favor the visiting side, with a 66.0% probability of Celta emerging victorious. The match is also predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals. In the current standings, Celta sits in a modest 8th position, while Oviedo struggles in 19th, making this an uphill battle for the home team.
Match Analysis
Oviedo's recent form has been particularly concerning, as they have failed to score in their last three matches and have conceded six goals in total. Their goalless draw at home against Mallorca was sandwiched between heavy defeats on the road to Sevilla and Ath Madrid. Despite managing two clean sheets in their last five games, their inability to find the net remains a significant issue, reflected in their average of zero goals scored over this period.
Conversely, Celta's recent performances have been more promising. They secured impressive victories against Ath Bilbao and Real Madrid, both with clean sheets, demonstrating their defensive solidity. However, a narrow home loss to Espanol indicates some room for improvement. Celta’s average of 1.8 goals scored in their last five matches highlights their attacking edge, which could prove decisive against an Oviedo side struggling defensively.
Final Prediction
Celta's superior form and attacking capability give them a clear edge over Oviedo, who are currently battling relegation woes. With Celta's ability to score and maintain clean sheets, they are well-positioned to take advantage of Oviedo's weaknesses. A key factor to watch will be Celta's ability to capitalize on Oviedo's defensive lapses while keeping their own backline steady.