La Liga 2025-2026: Oviedo vs Osasuna Prediction

Oviedo

Home Team
23%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
59%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 10 9 0 1 22 10 12 27
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 25 12 13 22
3 Villarreal 10 6 2 2 18 10 8 20
4 Ath Madrid 10 5 4 1 18 10 8 19
5 Espanol 10 5 3 2 14 11 3 18
6 Betis 10 4 4 2 15 12 3 16
7 Vallecano 10 4 2 4 12 10 2 14
8 Elche 10 3 5 2 11 10 1 14
9 Betis 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
10 Getafe 10 4 2 4 10 12 -2 14
11 Sevilla 10 4 1 5 17 16 1 13
12 Alaves 10 3 3 4 9 9 0 12
13 Celta 10 1 7 2 11 13 -2 10
14 Osasuna 10 3 1 6 9 12 -3 10
15 Levante 10 2 3 5 14 18 -4 9
16 Mallorca 10 2 3 5 11 15 -4 9
17 Sociedad 10 2 3 5 10 14 -4 9
18 Valencia 10 2 3 5 10 16 -6 9
19 Oviedo 10 2 1 7 7 19 -12 7
20 Girona 10 1 4 5 9 22 -13 7

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.18
# Clean Sheets: 0

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.96
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Oviedo and Osasuna is predicted to favor the visiting team, Osasuna, with a 59.0% chance of securing victory. On the other hand, Oviedo's likelihood of winning stands at 23.0%. The fixture is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 54.0%. Currently, Osasuna sits in 14th position in the La Liga standings, while Oviedo is struggling at 19th, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Oviedo has had a challenging run in their recent matches. They managed a 3-3 draw against Girona in an exciting away fixture but suffered back-to-back home defeats against Espanol and Levante, failing to score in both. Their average of 0.4 goals scored per match in the last five games highlights their struggles in front of goal, whereas they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in the same period, showcasing defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Osasuna's recent performances include a narrow defeat to Celta and a loss to Ath Madrid. However, they did manage a 2-1 victory over Getafe, which could boost their confidence. Despite scoring just 0.2 goals on average in their last five games, they have a slightly better defensive record than Oviedo, conceding 1.4 goals per match. Osasuna's expected goals stats indicate they are creating more opportunities than Oviedo, which could be pivotal in their quest for victory.

Final Prediction

Osasuna holds a statistical edge over Oviedo, primarily due to their superior league standing and slightly better recent form. Their ability to create more scoring opportunities, as evidenced by their expected goals, gives them a potential advantage. A key factor to watch will be whether Oviedo can improve their efficiency in front of goal to challenge Osasuna's defense.