La Liga 2025-2026: Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
Real Madrid
Home Team
24%
VS
Barcelona
Away Team
57%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
60%
Under 2.5:
40%
Goal:
61%
No Goal:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Valencia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Celta | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 5)
- 4th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
Barcelona
- Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.67
# Clean Sheets:
2
Barcelona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.89
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona is predicted to favor Barcelona, with a 57.0% probability of the away team securing victory. The match is also expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 60.0% probability of such an outcome. Currently, Real Madrid leads the La Liga standings, holding the first position with 24 points, while Barcelona trails closely in second place with 22 points.
Match Analysis
In their recent form, Real Madrid has showcased resilience, winning two out of their last three La Liga matches. They secured victories against Getafe and Villarreal, demonstrating solid defensive performances with one clean sheet. However, they suffered a heavy defeat to Atlético Madrid, conceding five goals. Real Madrid's advanced metrics highlight their attacking prowess with an average of 2.0 goals scored per match and solid defensive metrics, conceding only 0.5 goals on average in their last five matches.
Barcelona, on the other hand, has also been in good form, winning two of their last three encounters. They defeated Girona and Sociedad, while experiencing a setback against Sevilla. Barcelona's attacking unit has been productive, averaging 2.2 goals per match, though their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding 1.6 goals per game on average in the same period. Their expected goals and goals conceded metrics suggest they are capable of creating scoring opportunities but need to tighten up defensively.
Final Prediction
Barcelona's edge in this match stems from their formidable attack and recent performances that display a strong capability to score goals. Real Madrid's defense will need to be at its best to contain Barcelona's offensive threats. A key factor to watch during the game will be whether Real Madrid can maintain their defensive solidity against Barcelona's aggressive attacking play.