La Liga 2025-2026: Real Madrid vs Betis Prediction

Real Madrid

Home Team
88%
VS

Betis

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Recent Trends

Real Madrid ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)

Betis ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 3 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 2

Betis

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.58
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is heavily favored to secure a victory over Betis with an 88.0% probability, underscoring their strong home advantage. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 60.0%, suggesting an exciting, high-scoring encounter. Real Madrid currently holds the second position in La Liga, while Betis is positioned at sixth, indicating a challenging task ahead for the visitors.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid comes into this match with a mixed set of results in their recent outings, having secured two wins against Sevilla and Alaves, and a surprising home defeat to Celta. Their ability to find the back of the net has been consistent, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five games, while maintaining solid defensive performances with an average of 0.8 goals conceded. Their expected goals data further highlights their attacking prowess, with an average of 3.41 expected goals per game in recent matches. Betis, on the other hand, has experienced a slightly turbulent run with a win against Getafe, a draw against Vallecano, and a high-scoring loss to Barcelona. They have managed to keep three clean sheets in their last five matches, indicating a strong defensive setup. However, their offensive output averages at 1.4 goals per game, which may not be enough to outpace Real Madrid's firepower. Their expected goals metrics suggest they might struggle to create high-quality chances against a well-organized Real Madrid defense.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's superior attacking metrics and strong league position give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to consistently score goals, coupled with Betis' defensive vulnerabilities, could be decisive. A key factor to watch will be how Betis’ defense handles the relentless pressure from Real Madrid's front line, especially given the latter's impressive expected goals statistics.