La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Ath Bilbao Prediction - 24 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Sevilla

Home Team
31%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
46%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 20 16 1 3 54 22 32 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 43 17 26 48
3 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 37 19 18 41
4 Ath Madrid 20 12 5 3 35 17 18 41
5 Espanol 20 10 4 6 23 22 1 34
6 Betis 20 8 8 4 33 25 8 32
7 Celta 20 8 8 4 28 20 8 32
8 Elche 20 5 9 6 27 26 1 24
9 Sociedad 20 6 6 8 26 28 -2 24
10 Betis 20 7 3 10 19 28 -9 24
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 20 34 -14 24
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 21 24 -3 22
13 Vallecano 20 5 7 8 16 25 -9 22
14 Sevilla 20 6 3 11 26 32 -6 21
15 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 24 30 -6 21
16 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15 26 -11 21
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 19 31 -12 20
18 Alaves 20 5 4 11 16 25 -9 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 21 32 -11 14
20 Oviedo 20 2 7 11 11 31 -20 13

Recent Trends

Sevilla D L L L W

  • Last Match: D vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Oviedo (Goals: 4 - 0)

Ath Bilbao L D L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

xG (avg) 1.24
xGA (avg) 1.26
Clean Sheets 1

Ath Bilbao

xG (avg) 1.87
xGA (avg) 1.90
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Sevilla will face Athletic Bilbao in a crucial La Liga matchup, with the visitors having a 46% chance of securing victory. Despite Sevilla's home advantage, they have a 31% probability of winning, while the possibility of a draw stands at 23%. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 51% likelihood. Currently, Sevilla is in a precarious 14th position, while Athletic Bilbao is looking to climb higher in the standings.

Match Analysis

Sevilla has struggled in recent matches, failing to secure a win in their last three outings. Their most recent performance was a 2-2 draw against Elche, following consecutive home defeats to Celta and Levante. They have only managed to score an average of 1.0 goals per game while conceding 1.2, which points to their vulnerabilities at the back. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, also finds themselves in a rough patch, with their last three games resulting in a loss to Mallorca, a draw with Osasuna, and a home defeat against Espanyol. Their defensive frailties are evident as they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game. However, Bilbao's attack is slightly more promising, with an expected goals average of 1.872, indicating potential to breach Sevilla's defense.

Final Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's slightly superior attacking metrics and Sevilla's defensive inconsistencies give the visitors a slight edge. Watch for Bilbao's offensive efforts as they try to capitalize on Sevilla's recent poor form. This game could very well be decided by the ability of Bilbao's forwards to convert chances against a struggling Sevilla defense.

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