La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Barcelona Prediction
Sevilla
Home Team
1%
VS
Barcelona
Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Espanol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Getafe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 0)
Barcelona
- Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.51
# Clean Sheets:
2
Barcelona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.64
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Barcelona is heavily tipped in favor of the away side, with a staggering 98.0% probability of a Barcelona victory. With only a 1.0% chance for the home team to win or for the match to end in a draw, Barcelona is expected to secure three points. The game is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% probability. In the current La Liga standings, Barcelona sits comfortably at the top with 19 points, while Sevilla is positioned 9th with 10 points.
Match Analysis
Sevilla comes into the match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They secured victories against Vallecano and Alaves, both away games, but suffered a home defeat against Villarreal. Sevilla's average goals scored over the last five matches is 1.33, but they have also conceded an average of 2.0 goals in the same period, raising concerns about their defensive solidity. Despite these challenges, they have managed to keep two clean sheets, indicating that their defense can hold firm on their day.
Barcelona, on the other hand, has been in formidable form, winning all their last three matches. They have dispatched Sociedad, Oviedo, and Getafe with convincing performances, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game while conceding only 1.0. Their strong attacking presence is further highlighted by an expected goals average of 2.23 over the last five games, demonstrating their capability to create and convert chances. Defensively, they have recorded two clean sheets, mirroring their disciplined approach at the back.
Final Prediction
Barcelona's edge in this matchup is pronounced, given their superior form and attacking prowess. Their ability to consistently score goals while keeping a tight defensive line gives them the upper hand against a Sevilla side that has struggled defensively. A key factor to watch will be how Sevilla's defense handles Barcelona's relentless attack, which could ultimately determine the outcome of the game.