La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Levante Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
76%
VS

Levante

Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.40
# Clean Sheets: 1

Levante

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Levante is heavily tilted in Sevilla's favor, with a 76.0% probability of a home victory. This prediction is supported by Sevilla's current standing at 10th place in La Liga, while Levante languishes at the bottom in 20th position. The game is also predicted to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% probability, suggesting a potentially tight and low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Sevilla's recent form has shown signs of improvement, with a notable 4-0 home victory against Oviedo, sandwiched between a narrow 1-1 draw with Valencia and a 2-0 loss against Real Madrid. This mixed bag of results reveals a team capable of performing well at home, especially against lower-ranked sides. Their average goals scored in the last five matches stand at 2.0, indicating a reasonable attacking threat, while their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. On the flip side, Levante has struggled significantly, with a recent draw against Sociedad and consecutive losses to Osasuna and Ath Bilbao. They have managed just 0.8 goals per game on average, while conceding 1.4, showcasing their defensive vulnerabilities. Levante's inability to keep clean sheets in their last five matches further underscores their defensive fragility, which could be exploited by Sevilla's attackers.

Final Prediction

Sevilla's edge in this matchup largely stems from their superior league standing and recent home performance against Oviedo, indicating a stronger showing at home. A key factor to watch will be Sevilla's ability to capitalize on Levante's defensive weaknesses; if they can maintain their attacking momentum and tighten their defense, a home win seems likely. Keep an eye on Sevilla's forwards, as their performance could dictate the match's outcome.