La Liga 2025-2026: Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Sociedad
Home Team
42%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
32%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Espanol | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Elche | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Getafe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Sociedad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Valencia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 | Girona | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Sociedad
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sociedad
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
1
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.35
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Ath Bilbao sees Sociedad as the likely victors with a 42.0% probability of winning according to predictions. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability indicating a low-scoring affair. Currently, Sociedad sits precariously at 17th in La Liga, closely hovering above the relegation zone, while Ath Bilbao is not listed among the top 20 teams in the provided standings, indicating possible struggles this season.
Match Analysis
Sociedad's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. Most recently, they secured a 2-1 victory at home against Sevilla, which could serve as a confidence booster. Their draw against Celta and a narrow home loss to Vallecano demonstrate their inconsistency. Despite this, Sociedad's advanced metrics show promise; they average 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, with an expected goals tally of 1.964. This suggests that they have been creating more scoring opportunities than the scoreboard reflects.
Ath Bilbao, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a similar recent form, having secured a win, a draw, and a loss. Their victory over Mallorca was a positive outcome, albeit at home, while a goalless draw against Elche and a 1-0 loss to Getafe reflect their offensive struggles. Their low average of 0.5 goals scored per game and a slightly higher expected goals score of 0.8525 indicate inefficiency in front of goal. Defensively, they concede roughly 1.0 goals per game, which may offer Sociedad opportunities to capitalize on.
Final Prediction
Sociedad edges this matchup due to their higher probability of winning and their ability to convert expected goals into actual game results. A key factor to watch is Sociedad's capacity to maintain their defensive solidity while exploiting Ath Bilbao's vulnerabilities in attack. This could very well be a match where a single goal could make all the difference.