La Liga 2025-2026: Sociedad vs Celta Prediction
Sociedad
Home Team
42%
VS
Celta
Away Team
31%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Elche | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Betis | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 24 |
| 11 | Girona | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
| 16 | Getafe | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 21 |
| 17 | Valencia | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
| 18 | Alaves | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 | Levante | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 14 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Sociedad
- Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
Celta
- Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sociedad
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.84
# Clean Sheets:
0
Celta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Sociedad and Celta sees the home side, Sociedad, favored with a 42.0% probability of winning. In contrast, Celta carries a 31.0% chance, while a draw is pegged at 27.0%. With both teams positioned closely in the La Liga standings—Sociedad at 9th and Celta at 7th—the match promises to be hard-fought. The game is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, with the probability of scoring a goal at 56.0%.
Match Analysis
Recent performances suggest that both teams are in good form. Sociedad has secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches, showcasing resilience against top-tier teams like Barcelona and Ath Madrid. They have been consistent, scoring twice in their victories over Barcelona and Getafe, but they also struggle defensively, conceding in each of their recent matches. The advanced metrics indicate that Sociedad scores and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, with no clean sheets in their last five outings.
Celta, on the other hand, is riding a strong winning streak, with victories over Vallecano, Sevilla, and Valencia, and an impressive defensive record of four clean sheets in their last five games. Their recent success is built on a solid defense, conceding just 0.2 goals per game, and an efficient attack that averages 1.2 goals per game. Celta's ability to keep opponents at bay while converting their chances could prove decisive in this encounter.
Final Prediction
Sociedad's slight edge in the prediction stems from their home advantage and competitive performances against tougher opponents. However, Celta's robust defense and recent form suggest they won't be easy to break down. A key factor to watch will be how Sociedad manages to penetrate Celta's strong defensive line, which has been the foundation of their recent victories.