La Liga 2025-2026: Valencia vs Mallorca Prediction - 19 Dec 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Valencia

Home Team
51%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
24%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 14 1 2 49 20 29 43
2 Real Madrid 17 12 3 2 34 16 18 39
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 30 16 14 34
5 Espanol 16 9 3 4 20 16 4 30
6 Betis 16 6 7 3 25 19 6 25
7 Betis 17 7 2 8 15 22 -7 23
8 Celta 16 5 7 4 20 19 1 22
9 Sevilla 16 6 2 8 24 24 0 20
10 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 18 -5 20
11 Elche 16 4 7 5 19 20 -1 19
12 Alaves 16 5 3 8 14 17 -3 18
13 Vallecano 16 4 6 6 13 16 -3 18
14 Mallorca 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
15 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
16 Osasuna 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
17 Valencia 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
18 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
19 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 7 26 -19 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Valencia L D D W D

  • Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)

Mallorca W D D L W

  • Last Match: W vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

xG (avg) 1.44
xGA (avg) 1.30
Clean Sheets 1

Mallorca

xG (avg) 0.98
xGA (avg) 2.01
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Valencia and Mallorca is predicted to favor the home team, Valencia, with a 51.0% probability of victory. Despite their current struggles, Valencia has a slight edge over Mallorca, who has a 24.0% chance of winning, leaving a 25.0% likelihood for a draw. With both teams positioned in the lower half of the La Liga standings, Valencia sits at 17th while Mallorca holds the 14th spot. The game is also expected to have under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Valencia has had a challenging run in their last three matches, securing only two draws against Sevilla and Vallecano and suffering a narrow defeat against Ath Madrid. Their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.2 goals in the last five games, which aligns with their recent results. Despite their struggles, they have been creating opportunities, evidenced by an average of 1.44 expected goals per game, indicating potential that has yet to be fully realized. Mallorca, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with a convincing win over Elche and resilient draws against Oviedo and Osasuna. They average one goal per game but have been defensively porous, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Their expected goals conceded of 2.01 suggest they have been outperformed by their opponents, yet they have managed to keep two clean sheets, showcasing a capability to hold strong defensively when needed.

Final Prediction

Valencia's predicted edge in this contest stems from their home advantage and a slightly higher probability of victory. Their offensive potential, as indicated by their expected goals, can be a decisive factor if they capitalize on their chances. Fans should keep an eye on Valencia's ability to convert opportunities, as this could be the key to securing a much-needed win and climbing out of the relegation zone.

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Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

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