La Liga 2025-2026: Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction
Vallecano
Home Team
46%
VS
Alaves
Away Team
28%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Valencia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Celta | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
Alaves
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.41
# Clean Sheets:
2
Alaves
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.16
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Alaves sees Vallecano as the favorite with a 46.0% probability of winning, compared to a 28.0% chance for Alaves. A draw stands at 26.0%. The game is predicted to see under 2.5 goals, aligning with a 44.0% probability for such an outcome. In the standings, Vallecano sits 11th with 11 points, while Alaves is slightly ahead in 10th with 12 points.
Match Analysis
Vallecano comes into this match with an intriguing mix of results in their last three outings. They secured impressive away victories against Levante (3-0) and Sociedad (1-0), showcasing a solid defensive effort with two clean sheets. However, their recent home game against Sevilla ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat. Vallecano's defensive resilience is reflected in their advanced metrics, with an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game over their last five matches, and they have managed two clean sheets during this period.
Alaves, on the other hand, has shown defensive solidity as well, conceding only 0.75 goals on average in their last five games. Their recent performances include a gritty goalless draw against Valencia and a commendable 3-1 win over Elche at home. However, they struggled offensively in their recent away loss to Mallorca (0-1). The team's average expected goals scored is relatively low at 0.8275, indicating potential challenges in attack.
Final Prediction
Vallecano's recent defensive stability and two consecutive away wins give them a slight edge in this contest. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring chances away from home could be pivotal. A key factor to watch will be Vallecano's defense, as their ability to stifle Alaves' attack might determine the outcome of the game.