La Liga 2025-2026: Vallecano vs Betis Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
29%
VS

Betis

Away Team
49%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 20 27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 15 13 31
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 19 16 3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 6 24
7 Betis 16 7 2 7 15 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 17 1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 18 19 -1 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
14 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 19 22 -3 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 23 -9 15
17 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 22 -7 14
18 Girona 15 2 6 7 13 29 -16 12
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.00
# Clean Sheets: 2

Betis

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Vallecano and Betis presents an intriguing contest, with Betis favored to win at a 49% probability. Vallecano’s chances of securing a victory stand at 29%, while the likelihood of a draw is 22%. The game is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 51% probability. Currently, Betis is placed 6th in La Liga, while Vallecano is positioned at 12th, indicating a competitive gap between the two teams.

Match Analysis

Vallecano's recent performances have been less than stellar, with a loss and two draws in their last three matches. Against Espanyol, they fell 0-1 away, followed by a 1-1 home draw with Valencia and a goalless stalemate against Oviedo. Despite a solid defensive showing with two clean sheets in their last five games, Vallecano struggles offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals per match. However, their expected goals metric of 1.698 suggests they are creating opportunities but failing to convert them. On the other hand, Betis has shown more consistency, having secured a victory against Sevilla with a 2-0 scoreline, drawn against Girona, and narrowly lost to Barcelona in a high-scoring encounter. Betis averages 1.8 goals per game and has demonstrated resilience with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their expected goals scored and conceded metrics (1.462 and 1.352 respectively) reflect their balanced approach to both attack and defense.

Final Prediction

Betis appears to have the upper hand due to their superior recent form and goal-scoring capabilities. The key factor to watch will be Betis’ ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, exploiting Vallecano’s struggles to convert chances. If Vallecano can tighten their defense and improve their finishing, the game could take an unexpected turn. However, Betis' attacking prowess gives them a distinct advantage heading into this fixture.