La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
87%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 17 12 2 3 34 16 18 38
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 18 10 3 5 22 19 3 33
6 Betis 18 7 7 4 30 24 6 28
7 Celta 18 6 8 4 24 20 4 26
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 18 5 7 6 24 23 1 22
10 Getafe 18 6 3 9 14 23 -9 21
11 Sevilla 18 6 2 10 24 29 -5 20
12 Osasuna 18 5 4 9 18 21 -3 19
13 Alaves 18 5 4 9 15 21 -6 19
14 Vallecano 18 4 7 7 14 21 -7 19
15 Sociedad 18 4 6 8 22 26 -4 18
16 Mallorca 18 4 6 8 20 26 -6 18
17 Girona 18 4 6 8 17 34 -17 18
18 Valencia 18 3 7 8 17 30 -13 16
19 Levante 17 3 4 10 20 29 -9 13
20 Oviedo 18 2 6 10 8 27 -19 12

Recent Trends

Villarreal ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)

Alaves ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 1

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Villarreal and Alaves is heavily weighted in favor of the home side, with an 87.0% probability of a Villarreal victory. The match is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 57.0% probability supporting this outcome. Villarreal, currently in 3rd place in La Liga, have demonstrated a strong campaign so far, while Alaves sit in 13th place and will be looking to improve their standing.

Match Analysis

Villarreal have shown impressive form in their recent matches, claiming victories against Elche and Getafe while suffering a narrow defeat to the league leaders Barcelona. The Yellow Submarine has scored consistently, averaging 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches, while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 1.0 goal per game on average. Their ability to create scoring opportunities is supported by an expected goals figure of 1.862, indicating their offensive prowess. In contrast, Alaves have struggled to find form, with their last three games yielding a draw against Oviedo and losses to Osasuna and Real Madrid. Scoring has been a particular challenge, with an average of just 0.2 goals per game across their last five matches. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average. While their expected goals of 1.36 suggests they might create chances, their ability to convert them into goals has been lacking.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's superior attacking capabilities combined with Alaves' defensive vulnerabilities give the home side a clear edge in this matchup. Fans should keep an eye on Villarreal's attacking play, as their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities could be the decisive factor in this game. With a high probability of a win and goals aplenty, this match promises to be an entertaining affair for the supporters.