La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Barcelona Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
15%
VS

Barcelona

Away Team
71%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 61%
No Goal: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 14 1 2 49 20 29 43
2 Real Madrid 17 12 3 2 34 16 18 39
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 30 16 14 34
5 Espanol 16 9 3 4 20 16 4 30
6 Betis 16 6 7 3 25 19 6 25
7 Betis 17 7 2 8 15 22 -7 23
8 Celta 16 5 7 4 20 19 1 22
9 Sevilla 16 6 2 8 24 24 0 20
10 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 18 -5 20
11 Elche 16 4 7 5 19 20 -1 19
12 Alaves 16 5 3 8 14 17 -3 18
13 Vallecano 16 4 6 6 13 16 -3 18
14 Mallorca 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
15 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
16 Osasuna 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
17 Valencia 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
18 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
19 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 7 26 -19 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Villarreal ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 5 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.04
# Clean Sheets: 3

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.20
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Villarreal and Barcelona is tipped in favor of the visitors, with a 71.0% probability of Barcelona securing victory. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair with a 57.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. Barcelona currently leads La Liga, sitting in first place with 43 points, while Villarreal is chasing closely in third place with 35 points.

Match Analysis

Both teams come into this encounter on the back of strong performances. Villarreal has showcased their resilience with three consecutive victories against Getafe, Sociedad, and Mallorca, scoring a total of 7 goals while conceding just 3. Their defensive solidity is evident, highlighted by 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches and an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game. Conversely, Barcelona has maintained a dominant run, winning their last three matches against Osasuna, Betis, and Atlético Madrid. They have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.8 goals per game over their last five fixtures. However, their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding 2.4 goals on average in the same period. Barcelona's expected goals statistics suggest they create high-quality chances, with an average of 2.48 expected goals per game.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's superior attacking prowess gives them a distinct advantage heading into this match. Their ability to create and convert chances at a high rate is a key factor. However, Villarreal's disciplined defense could pose a challenge. A critical aspect to watch will be Barcelona's ability to break down Villarreal's defense, as their efficiency in front of goal could be decisive in determining the outcome of the match.