La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Mallorca Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
92%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 26 10 16 31
2 Barcelona 12 9 1 2 32 15 17 28
3 Villarreal 12 8 2 2 24 10 14 26
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 24 11 13 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 19 13 6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Betis 12 5 2 5 12 13 -1 17
8 Getafe 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
10 Alaves 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
11 Elche 12 3 6 3 13 14 -1 15
12 Vallecano 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
13 Celta 12 2 7 3 15 18 -3 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
15 Mallorca 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
16 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 9 13 -4 11
17 Valencia 12 2 4 6 11 21 -10 10
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 11 24 -13 10
19 Levante 12 2 3 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Oviedo 12 2 2 8 7 20 -13 8

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 3

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.26
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Villarreal is poised to clinch victory over Mallorca with a commanding 92.0% probability, reflecting their strong form in the league. The match is likely to feature over 2.5 goals, given a 51.0% probability. Currently, Villarreal holds the 3rd position in La Liga, while Mallorca is struggling at 15th position, emphasizing the disparity in their performances this season.

Match Analysis

In their last three encounters, Villarreal has been impressive, securing consecutive wins without conceding a single goal. They triumphed over Espanol, Vallecano, and Valencia, with their offense tallying up to eight goals in these matches. Villarreal's recent form is reinforced by an average of 2.8 goals scored per game and maintaining clean sheets in three of their last five outings. With a robust defense, conceding merely an average of 0.6 goals, Villarreal seems well-prepared to sustain their winning momentum. Mallorca, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results, with a win against Getafe, a draw with Levante, and a substantial loss to Betis. Their scoring average stands at 1.2 goals per game, while their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2.0 goals. The advanced metrics indicate that Mallorca's expected goals conceded (2.262) surpass their expected goals scored (1.118), suggesting defensive frailties that Villarreal could exploit.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's superior form and defensive solidity give them a significant edge over Mallorca in this matchup. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be Villarreal's offensive prowess, which could prove overwhelming for Mallorca's struggling defense. Keep an eye on Villarreal's attack as they aim to maintain their position among the league's top contenders.