La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Vallecano Prediction
Villarreal
Home Team
77%
VS
Vallecano
Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Espanol | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Elche | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Betis | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Getafe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Sociedad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Valencia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 | Girona | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Villarreal
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Villarreal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.08
# Clean Sheets:
2
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.95
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Villarreal and Vallecano sees Villarreal as the strong favorites, with a 77.0% probability of winning. Vallecano’s chances of securing a victory are slim at 10.0%, while a draw stands at 13.0%. The game is anticipated to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 51.0% probability supporting this outcome. Villarreal sits comfortably in 3rd place, eyeing a Champions League spot, whereas Vallecano is positioned 7th in the league table.
Match Analysis
Villarreal has had a mixed bag of results in their last three outings. They claimed a 2-0 victory against Valencia away but were held to a 2-2 draw at home by Betis. Their only recent slip was a 1-3 defeat against the league leaders, Real Madrid. Villarreal's offensive prowess is evident with an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last five matches, while their defense has been quite resilient, conceding only 0.6 goals on average.
In contrast, Vallecano is riding a wave of form with three consecutive wins, showcasing a solid defense with clean sheets in all three matches against Alaves, Levante, and Sociedad. Their scoring, however, is more modest, averaging 1.2 goals per game in the last five matches. Despite their defensive solidity in recent games, Vallecano’s expected goals conceded metric of 1.95 indicates potential vulnerabilities that Villarreal could exploit.
Final Prediction
Villarreal’s attacking efficiency and solid defensive record give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to score prolifically combined with Vallecano’s potential defensive lapses suggest that Villarreal will likely control the game. Keep an eye on Villarreal’s offensive players, who could be pivotal in breaking through Vallecano's defense.