Ligue 1 2025-2026: Angers vs Nantes Prediction
Angers
Home Team
64%
VS
Nantes
Away Team
17%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Goal:
48%
No Goal:
52%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Angers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 11 |
Recent Trends
Angers
- Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
Nantes
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.51
# Clean Sheets:
3
Nantes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.51
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Angers and Nantes is predicted to favor Angers with a 64.0% probability of a home win. The likelihood of a draw stands at 18.0%, while an away win for Nantes is predicted at 17.0%. The expected result leans towards a low-scoring game with a probability of less than 2.5 goals at 59.0%. Angers currently sit in 11th place in the Ligue 1 standings, while Nantes are struggling in 17th, facing potential relegation.
Match Analysis
Angers come into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They have recorded two victories in their last three games, both 1-0 away wins against Nice and Toulouse, showcasing their ability to secure narrow victories on the road. However, they suffered a close 2-1 defeat at home against league leaders Lens. Angers' recent defensive solidity is evident, having kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, which might prove crucial against a Nantes team struggling for form.
Nantes, on the other hand, have been unable to find any consistent rhythm, as reflected in their recent results. They suffered back-to-back defeats to Lens and Lyon, conceding three goals against the latter without reply. A 1-1 home draw against Lorient offered little respite. Nantes have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, and their expected goals scored remains below one, indicating offensive struggles.
Final Prediction
Angers hold the edge in this encounter primarily due to their recent defensive performances and home advantage. With Nantes' ongoing defensive vulnerabilities and lack of clean sheets, Angers' ability to capitalize on defensive lapses could be a key determinant in the match. Watch out for Angers’ defensive resilience, which could be pivotal in securing all three points.