Ligue 1 2025-2026: Le Havre vs Angers Prediction

Le Havre

Home Team
50%
VS

Angers

Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 16 12 1 3 28 13 15 37
2 Paris SG 16 11 3 2 35 14 21 36
3 Marseille 16 10 2 4 36 15 21 32
4 Lille 16 10 2 4 33 20 13 32
5 Lyon 16 8 3 5 22 16 6 27
6 Rennes 16 7 6 3 27 24 3 27
7 Strasbourg 16 7 2 7 25 20 5 23
8 Toulouse 16 6 5 5 24 19 5 23
9 Monaco 16 7 2 7 26 27 -1 23
10 Angers 16 6 4 6 17 18 -1 22
11 Brest 16 5 4 7 21 27 -6 19
12 Lorient 16 4 6 6 19 28 -9 18
13 Nice 16 5 2 9 19 29 -10 17
14 Paris FC 16 4 4 8 21 29 -8 16
15 Le Havre 16 3 6 7 13 22 -9 15
16 Auxerre 16 3 3 10 14 25 -11 12
17 Nantes 16 2 5 9 14 28 -14 11
18 Metz 16 3 2 11 17 37 -20 11

Recent Trends

Le Havre ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)

Angers ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nantes (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Le Havre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.91
# Clean Sheets: 1

Angers

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.26
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Le Havre and Angers in Ligue 1 sees Le Havre as the predicted winner with a 50% probability, while Angers has a 25% chance of taking home the victory. The likelihood of a draw is also 25%. With a current standing of 15th for Le Havre and 10th for Angers, both teams are looking to climb the table. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Le Havre enters this game on the back of a challenging run, having not scored in their last three matches. Their recent performances include a draw against Paris FC and narrow losses to Lyon and Lille. Despite these setbacks, Le Havre's defense has been relatively solid, conceding only two goals in these three games. Their advanced metrics show an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded per match, with a slightly higher expected goals scored at 1.264, indicating potential for improvement in front of goal. In contrast, Angers have shown a better form, winning two of their last three encounters. They recorded a strong 4-1 victory against Nantes and a 1-0 away win at Nice but fell to a narrow defeat against league leaders Lens. Angers' recent success has been bolstered by their defensive solidity, keeping three clean sheets in their last five outings despite an average of 1.6 goals conceded. Their attack is less prolific, with an average of 0.8 goals scored, suggesting some reliance on defensive stability.

Final Prediction

Le Havre's home advantage and defensive resilience give them a slight edge over Angers in this match-up. With Angers' defense being their strength, this game is likely to be a tightly contested affair. A key factor to watch will be Le Havre's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be decisive in securing a much-needed win.