Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lens vs Nice Prediction
Lens
Home Team
88%
VS
Nice
Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Angers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 11 |
Recent Trends
Lens
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 3 - 0)
Nice
- Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 4th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lens
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.13
# Clean Sheets:
2
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.14
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lens and Nice heavily favors the home side, with an 88% probability of Lens securing victory. As the top team in Ligue 1, Lens has been in formidable form, and the odds suggest a match with a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, standing at 56%. Meanwhile, Nice finds themselves in the 12th position, struggling to find consistency in their performances.
Match Analysis
Lens has been riding a wave of success, winning their last three matches. Their recent victories over Nantes, Angers, and Strasbourg highlight their defensive solidity and attacking prowess, conceding only two goals while scoring five. Advanced metrics show Lens averaging 2.2 goals per game with only 0.4 goals conceded, supported by a strong expected goals figure of 2.622, indicating their potential to maintain this high level of performance.
In stark contrast, Nice has been on a downward trajectory, losing their last three encounters. Their defeats against Angers, Lorient, and Marseille show a defense under pressure, allowing nine goals while scoring a mere two. Nice's advanced metrics reveal a concerning average of 1.8 goals conceded per game and only 0.904 expected goals scored, reflecting the challenges they face in both defense and attack.
Final Prediction
Lens' superior form and solid defensive record give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to convert chances and maintain a tight defense positions them well to capitalize on Nice's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Lens' attacking efficiency, as they look to assert their dominance early and continue their impressive run at the top of the league.