Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lens vs Paris FC Prediction
Lens
Home Team
68%
VS
Paris FC
Away Team
15%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
59%
No Goal:
41%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Lens
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 1)
Paris FC
- Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lens
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
2
Paris FC
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.04
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lens and Paris FC is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, with a 68.0% probability of a Lens victory. Paris FC holds a mere 15.0% chance of winning, while the possibility of a draw stands at 17.0%. Lens, currently in 6th place in Ligue 1, looks to solidify their position against an 8th-placed Paris FC. Fans can anticipate an exciting encounter, with a 55.0% probability of the match producing over 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Lens has displayed a commendable form in their last three outings, securing wins against Auxerre and Lille, and a goalless draw against Rennes. The team has shown defensive resilience, evidenced by two clean sheets and a low average of 0.67 goals conceded per game. Offensively, Lens has been impressive, averaging 2.0 goals per match, with expected goals figures of 3.37 in recent performances, suggesting they are creating ample scoring opportunities.
On the contrary, Paris FC's recent performances have been a mixed bag. A win against Lorient and a draw with Nice were overshadowed by a narrow loss to Strasbourg. Paris FC averages 1.25 goals per game but struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per match. Their expected goals conceded stands at 2.035, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their backline. Despite these challenges, Paris FC will aim to draw inspiration from their recent win to challenge Lens.
Final Prediction
Lens appears to have the upper hand in this matchup, thanks to their consistent form and superior defensive record. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities gives them a distinct advantage over a Paris FC side that has shown defensive frailties. A key factor to watch will be how Paris FC's defense copes with Lens' attacking prowess, which could ultimately determine the outcome of this intriguing encounter.