Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lens vs Strasbourg Prediction
Lens
Home Team
73%
VS
Strasbourg
Away Team
12%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
60%
No Goal:
40%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Lens
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lens
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.24
# Clean Sheets:
1
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.27
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lens and Strasbourg is expected to see the home team, Lens, emerge victorious with a 73.0% probability of winning. The game is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 56.0% probability of this outcome. Lens currently sits in a strong 3rd position in Ligue 1, while Strasbourg is closely trailing in 4th place.
Match Analysis
Lens comes into this match on the back of a strong performance, having won two out of their last three games, including a convincing 4-1 victory against Monaco away and a 3-0 triumph over Lorient at home. Their only recent setback was a 2-0 loss to Metz. Lens has shown formidable attacking prowess, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, and has maintained a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per match.
On the other hand, Strasbourg has also been in decent form, securing wins in two of their last three fixtures. They defeated Lille 2-0 and Auxerre 3-0, both at home, but stumbled in an away match against Rennes, losing 4-1. Strasbourg's attack has been effective, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game over their last five games. However, their defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.8 goals in the same period.
Final Prediction
With their current form and strong home performances, Lens appears to have the upper hand in this encounter. Their impressive goal-scoring ability, coupled with a sturdy defense, gives them a significant edge over Strasbourg. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lens's ability to capitalize on their expected goals, which has been notably high in recent matches.