Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lille vs Strasbourg Prediction

Lille

Home Team
58%
VS

Strasbourg

Away Team
22%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 18 14 1 3 32 13 19 43
2 Paris SG 18 13 3 2 40 15 25 42
3 Marseille 18 11 2 5 41 19 22 35
4 Lyon 18 10 3 5 27 18 9 33
5 Lille 18 10 2 6 33 25 8 32
6 Rennes 18 8 7 3 30 25 5 31
7 Strasbourg 18 8 3 7 28 22 6 27
8 Toulouse 18 7 5 6 29 23 6 26
9 Monaco 18 7 2 9 28 33 -5 23
10 Brest 18 6 4 8 24 29 -5 22
11 Angers 18 6 4 8 20 25 -5 22
12 Lorient 18 5 7 6 23 30 -7 22
13 Paris FC 18 5 4 9 24 32 -8 19
14 Le Havre 18 4 7 7 16 24 -8 19
15 Nice 18 5 3 10 21 35 -14 18
16 Nantes 18 3 5 10 17 30 -13 14
17 Auxerre 18 3 3 12 14 28 -14 12
18 Metz 18 3 3 12 19 40 -21 12

Recent Trends

Lille ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 0)

Strasbourg ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lorient (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lille

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.04
# Clean Sheets: 2

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.89
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Lille is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Strasbourg with a 58.0% probability of winning. The expectation of a high-scoring affair is reflected in the 52.0% probability of the match having over 2.5 goals. Lille currently sits in 5th place in Ligue 1, while Strasbourg is positioned 7th, making this an encounter between two top-half teams.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Lille's form has been inconsistent, experiencing two losses against Paris SG and Rennes without scoring a goal. However, they bounced back with a thrilling 4-3 away victory over Auxerre. Lille's attacking prowess is evident from their average of 2.4 goals scored in the last five games, although they have conceded an average of 1.0 goal per game. Their ability to create goal-scoring opportunities is supported by an expected goals figure of 2.366, indicating they are generating quality chances. Strasbourg, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings. They have managed a win against Metz and secured draws against Nice and Lorient, but their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their expected goals figure of 0.954 suggests a lack of offensive threat compared to Lille, and they have only managed one clean sheet in the same period.

Final Prediction

Lille's superior attacking form gives them a significant edge over Strasbourg, who have been struggling to score and maintain defensive solidity. The key factor to watch will be Lille's ability to convert their chances into goals, as they have demonstrated a strong offensive output in recent games. Strasbourg will need to tighten their defense if they hope to challenge Lille effectively in this encounter.