Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lorient vs Lyon Prediction
Lorient
Home Team
19%
VS
Lyon
Away Team
65%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Rennes | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Nice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 |
| 11 | Brest | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Angers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Lorient | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Nantes | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Metz | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Lorient
- Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 1)
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lorient
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.31
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lorient and Lyon is predicted to favor the visitors, with a significant 65.0% probability of a Lyon victory. The game is also expected to be dynamic, with a 54.0% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, Lyon sits comfortably in 6th position in Ligue 1, while Lorient is further down the table in 15th place, highlighting the disparity in their seasons so far.
Match Analysis
Lorient has shown a mix of resilience and inconsistency in their recent performances. Their last three games included a solid 3-1 victory over Nice at home, followed by two consecutive 1-1 draws against Nantes and Toulouse. These results indicate that while Lorient can score, their defense remains a concern, as indicated by their average of 1.4 goals conceded in the last five matches. Moreover, with zero clean sheets in the same period, their backline will need to tighten up against a strong Lyon attack.
Lyon, on the other hand, has demonstrated a stronger defensive setup, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Their recent form includes a commanding 3-0 win against Nantes, a goalless draw with Auxerre, and a narrow 3-2 loss to Paris SG. Offensively, they have averaged 1.2 goals per game, but their ability to keep a tight defense could be crucial against Lorient's attacking threats. The advanced metrics suggest Lyon's expected goals and goals conceded are fairly balanced, providing them with a stable platform to build upon.
Final Prediction
Lyon is poised to have the upper hand in this encounter, primarily due to their robust defensive record and a higher league standing. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could prove decisive against a Lorient side that struggles to keep opponents at bay. A key factor to watch will be how Lorient's attack fares against Lyon's solid defense, which could ultimately determine the outcome of the match.