Ligue 1 2024-2025: Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction
Lyon
Home Team
92%
VS
Le Havre
Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
65%
Under 2.5:
35%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Monaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Nantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | St Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 4 - 0)
Le Havre
- Last Match: vs St Etienne (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.58
# Clean Sheets:
2
Le Havre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.05
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Lyon is the clear favorite to win their upcoming match against Le Havre, with a commanding 92.0% probability of victory. The game is also expected to see more than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 65.0% chance of that outcome. Lyon currently sits in the 6th position in Ligue 1, while Le Havre struggles at 16th, just above the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Lyon has shown resilience and capability, winning two of their last three matches. Their victories against Nice and Brest, where they scored two goals in each, demonstrate a solid attacking form. However, their narrow 3-2 loss to the league leaders Paris SG indicates they can compete with the top teams. Key metrics show that Lyon scores an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.8, coupled with two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing their defensive prowess.
On the other hand, Le Havre's recent form has been inconsistent. They managed a surprising 4-3 win against Lens away from home, but their defeat to Toulouse and a draw against St Etienne highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game. Le Havre’s inability to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings could be a critical weakness against a formidable Lyon attack.
Final Prediction
Lyon's superior form and defensive solidity give them a significant edge over Le Havre, who have struggled to maintain consistency. Watch for Lyon’s attacking talent to capitalize on Le Havre’s defensive frailties, potentially making it a high-scoring affair. A key factor to keep an eye on is Lyon's ability to maintain their defensive structure, which could be decisive in securing a vital win to bolster their league position.