Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lyon vs Paris SG Prediction
Lyon
Home Team
4%
VS
Paris SG
Away Team
90%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 2)
Paris SG
- Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.85
# Clean Sheets:
1
Paris SG
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.37
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Paris SG is the clear favorite going into their clash against Lyon, with a commanding 90.0% probability of securing a victory. The prediction also suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 56.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored. As it stands, Lyon is currently positioned 6th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Paris SG is not listed but is likely a top contender based on their strong winning probability.
Match Analysis
Lyon has shown mixed results in their last three encounters, securing a win against Strasbourg but only managing draws against Brest and Paris FC. Despite these inconsistent outcomes, Lyon has maintained a decent scoring average of 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches and has been defensively solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average. Their ability to create chances is reflected in their expected goals metric of 2.056, although they have only managed one clean sheet in their recent outings.
On the other hand, Paris SG comes into this match with a stronger performance record, achieving victories over Nice and Brest and drawing with Lorient. Paris SG's attacking prowess is evident with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game, backed by an expected goals figure of 1.868. Defensively, they've conceded an average of 1.2 goals, but have managed to keep two clean sheets, showcasing their capacity to stifle opposing offenses.
Final Prediction
Paris SG's superior form and higher goal-scoring average provide them with a significant edge over Lyon in this matchup. Their robust defense, coupled with a potent attack, makes them a formidable opponent. Fans should keep an eye on Paris SG's attacking trio, whose ability to convert chances could be the deciding factor in a high-scoring game.