Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lyon vs Strasbourg Prediction
Lyon
Home Team
76%
VS
Strasbourg
Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Lyon
- Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 3)
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lyon
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.86
# Clean Sheets:
2
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.82
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, the home team, Lyon, is expected to emerge victorious with a substantial probability of 76.0%. The game is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 54.0% likelihood. Lyon currently sits in 5th place in the Ligue 1 standings, while Strasbourg is positioned slightly higher in 3rd place, making this an intriguing matchup between two top-five teams.
Match Analysis
Lyon has had a mixed bag of results in their last three matches, with a critical win over Lille (1-0) away contrasting with two losses against Nice (2-3) and Toulouse (1-2). Their performance reflects inconsistency, yet they have shown resilience, particularly in defense, with two clean sheets in their last five games. On the offensive side, Lyon has averaged 1.5 goals per game, while their expected goals metric of 2.2825 suggests potential to score more.
Strasbourg, on the other hand, has shown strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.25 goals per game in recent outings. Their last three matches include a commanding 5-0 victory over Angers, a thrilling 3-3 draw against Paris SG, and a narrow 1-2 loss to league leaders Marseille. Strasbourg's defense, however, has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game, which could be a vulnerability against Lyon's attack.
Final Prediction
Lyon's edge in this matchup stems from their strong home advantage and defensive solidity, which has yielded two clean sheets in recent games. A key factor to watch will be whether Lyon's defense can contain Strasbourg's dynamic attacking force, potentially shifting the game's momentum in Lyon's favor if they succeed. Keep an eye on Lyon's ability to capitalize on their expected goals, which could be crucial in securing a win.