Ligue 1 2025-2026: Monaco vs Paris FC Prediction
Monaco
Home Team
91%
VS
Paris FC
Away Team
4%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
60%
Under 2.5:
40%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lens | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Rennes | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Brest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Monaco
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 5 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
Paris FC
- Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Monaco
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.16
# Clean Sheets:
1
Paris FC
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.02
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Monaco is heavily favored to win their upcoming clash against Paris FC, with a commanding 91.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in this encounter is also significant, standing at 60.0%. Currently, Monaco is sitting in 2nd place in Ligue 1, while Paris FC finds itself in the 12th position. With these standings, Monaco is poised to capitalize on their form to secure a win.
Match Analysis
Monaco has demonstrated strong form in their recent outings, securing wins against Nantes and Toulouse and drawing with Angers. They have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.8 goals per game over the last five matches, showcasing their attacking prowess. Their average goals conceded stand at 1.4, indicating a relatively solid defense, bolstered by one clean sheet in their last five games.
Paris FC, on the other hand, has struggled in their recent performances, managing just a draw against Lyon after consecutive losses to Nantes and Lens. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game in their last five matches while conceding an average of 2.0 goals, reflecting vulnerabilities in their defense. The expected goals metrics further emphasize the challenge they face, with an expected goal conceded rate of 2.024.
Final Prediction
Monaco holds the upper hand thanks to their superior attacking form and a more resilient defense compared to Paris FC. Their ability to score multiple goals consistently gives them a significant advantage in this matchup. Fans should keep an eye on Monaco's offensive momentum, as their attacking capabilities could be the key factor that secures a decisive victory in this encounter.