Ligue 1 2025-2026: Nantes vs Monaco Prediction

Nantes

Home Team
4%
VS

Monaco

Away Team
91%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 9 6 2 1 19 8 11 20
2 Lens 9 6 1 2 14 8 6 19
3 Marseille 9 6 0 3 22 9 13 18
4 Lyon 9 6 0 3 13 9 4 18
5 Lille 9 5 2 2 22 11 11 17
6 Monaco 9 5 2 2 18 13 5 17
7 Strasbourg 9 5 1 3 18 12 6 16
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 14 15 -1 14
9 Toulouse 9 4 1 4 15 13 2 13
10 Rennes 9 2 5 2 12 14 -2 11
11 Paris FC 9 3 1 5 14 17 -3 10
12 Brest 9 2 3 4 14 17 -3 9
13 Nantes 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
14 Le Havre 9 2 3 4 11 16 -5 9
15 Angers 9 2 3 4 6 12 -6 9
16 Lorient 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
17 Auxerre 9 2 1 6 7 13 -6 7
18 Metz 9 0 2 7 6 26 -20 2

Recent Trends

Nantes ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)

Monaco ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 5 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nantes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 1

Monaco

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nantes and Monaco heavily favors the visitors, with a staggering 91.0% probability of a Monaco victory. Nantes, currently sitting in 13th place, will be facing a formidable 6th-placed Monaco side. The game is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, with the likelihood of a goal at 52.0%.

Match Analysis

Nantes has experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent matches, securing a win against Paris FC, a loss to Lille, and a goalless draw with Brest. Their performance has been inconsistent, with an average of 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game over their last five outings. Despite these challenges, Nantes displayed defensive resilience with one clean sheet in these matches. Monaco, on the other hand, has shown a slightly better form, with a win against Toulouse and draws against Angers and Nice. They have managed to maintain a goal average of 1.0 per game while conceding 1.5 on average. Their attacking prowess is evident from their expected goals average of 1.4225 over the last five games. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, as reflected in their expected goals conceded of 1.745.

Final Prediction

Monaco's higher league position, coupled with their slightly better recent form and attacking capabilities, gives them a distinct advantage in this match-up. Fans should watch for Monaco's ability to capitalize on their scoring chances, as this could be the key factor in securing the win. Keep an eye on the battle in midfield, where Monaco's creativity could unlock the Nantes defense.