Ligue 1 2025-2026: Nice vs Lille Prediction
Nice
Home Team
12%
VS
Lille
Away Team
77%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
63%
Under 2.5:
37%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Lyon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Nice
- Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 4)
Lille
- Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 6 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.60
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lille
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.81
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nice and Lille sees the away team, Lille, as the strong favorite with a 77.0% probability of winning. The prediction also leans towards a match with over 2.5 goals, carrying a 63.0% probability. Lille currently sits in 5th place in the Ligue 1 standings, while Nice is in 8th, making this a crucial encounter for both teams aiming to climb higher in the league table.
Match Analysis
Nice comes into this fixture following a mixed bag of results. They secured a notable away victory against Rennes, won at home against Lyon, and shared the spoils in an entertaining 2-2 draw with Monaco. Despite these promising performances, Nice has struggled defensively, conceding in all their recent matches and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five games. Their average goals scored and conceded indicate a team that is both capable in attack and vulnerable at the back.
Lille, on the other hand, has been impressive in their recent outings, showcasing their attacking prowess with a dominant 6-1 win over Metz and a solid 2-0 victory against Nantes. A commendable draw against league leaders Paris SG further underscores their threat. Lille's attacking statistics are particularly striking, averaging 3.0 goals per game over the last five matches. While they have conceded 1.75 goals on average, their ability to outscore opponents remains a key strength.
Final Prediction
Lille's superior attacking form and recent strong performances give them a clear edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how Nice's defense handles Lille's potent forward line, which has been prolific in recent games. If Lille can maintain their scoring form, they are likely to emerge victorious in this encounter.