Ligue 1 2025-2026: Nice vs Strasbourg Prediction

Nice

Home Team
21%
VS

Strasbourg

Away Team
62%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 16 12 1 3 28 13 15 37
2 Paris SG 16 11 3 2 35 14 21 36
3 Marseille 16 10 2 4 36 15 21 32
4 Lille 16 10 2 4 33 20 13 32
5 Lyon 16 8 3 5 22 16 6 27
6 Rennes 16 7 6 3 27 24 3 27
7 Strasbourg 16 7 2 7 25 20 5 23
8 Toulouse 16 6 5 5 24 19 5 23
9 Monaco 16 7 2 7 26 27 -1 23
10 Angers 16 6 4 6 17 18 -1 22
11 Brest 16 5 4 7 21 27 -6 19
12 Lorient 16 4 6 6 19 28 -9 18
13 Nice 16 5 2 9 19 29 -10 17
14 Paris FC 16 4 4 8 21 29 -8 16
15 Le Havre 16 3 6 7 13 22 -9 15
16 Auxerre 16 3 3 10 14 25 -11 12
17 Nantes 16 2 5 9 14 28 -14 11
18 Metz 16 3 2 11 17 37 -20 11

Recent Trends

Nice ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 2)

Strasbourg ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lorient (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nice

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.90
# Clean Sheets: 0

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.99
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nice and Strasbourg is predicted to favor the away team, Strasbourg, with a 62.0% probability of victory. The game is also anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% probability supporting this outcome. As per the current Ligue 1 standings, Strasbourg holds the 7th position, while Nice is trailing in 13th place, highlighting a disparity in their recent performances.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Nice has struggled to find form, losing all three matches. They faced defeats against Lens, Angers, and Lorient, managing to score only once while conceding six goals in total. This run of poor results has been reflective of their season so far, characterized by a lack of defensive solidity and an inability to convert chances into goals. Their advanced metrics underscore these issues, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, alongside failing to secure any clean sheets in their last five matches. Strasbourg, on the other hand, has also faced challenges recently, with two losses and a draw in their last three games. They were held to a goalless draw by Lorient and suffered narrow defeats to Toulouse and Brest. Despite these setbacks, Strasbourg's defensive efforts have been more consistent, as demonstrated by two clean sheets in their last five games, and they have shown resilience with an average of 1.0 goals scored per game. Their expected goals metrics suggest they have the potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities with 1.06 expected goals per game.

Final Prediction

Strasbourg's advantage going into this fixture stems from their superior league position and relatively better defensive record, despite recent inconsistent results. A key factor to watch will be Strasbourg's ability to maintain defensive discipline, which could prove crucial against a Nice side struggling to find the back of the net. This matchup promises to be a test of resilience and tactical discipline for both sides.