Ligue 1 2025-2026: Paris FC vs Auxerre Prediction

Paris FC

Home Team
78%
VS

Auxerre

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 13 9 3 1 27 11 16 30
2 Marseille 13 9 1 3 33 12 21 28
3 Lens 13 9 1 3 22 11 11 28
4 Lille 13 7 2 4 27 17 10 23
5 Strasbourg 13 7 1 5 24 17 7 22
6 Rennes 13 5 6 2 23 18 5 21
7 Lyon 13 6 3 4 18 15 3 21
8 Monaco 13 6 2 5 25 25 0 20
9 Nice 13 5 2 6 18 23 -5 17
10 Toulouse 13 4 4 5 18 17 1 16
11 Angers 13 4 4 5 11 15 -4 16
12 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 20 25 -5 14
13 Le Havre 13 3 5 5 13 20 -7 14
14 Brest 13 3 4 6 17 23 -6 13
15 Nantes 13 2 5 6 12 19 -7 11
16 Lorient 13 2 5 6 15 27 -12 11
17 Metz 13 3 2 8 14 30 -16 11
18 Auxerre 13 2 2 9 7 19 -12 8

Recent Trends

Paris FC ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 2)

Auxerre ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Paris FC

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Auxerre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.95
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Paris FC and Auxerre is heavily tilted in favor of the home side. Paris FC is predicted to win with a 78.0% probability, making them the clear favorites. The likelihood of the game featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 50.0%. Paris FC currently sits in 12th position in Ligue 1, while Auxerre finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 18th position.

Match Analysis

Paris FC comes into this match having endured a mixed bag of results in their last three outings. They secured an impressive 1-0 away victory against Monaco but were unable to maintain momentum, suffering defeats against Lille and Rennes. Despite these setbacks, Paris FC has shown a propensity to score, averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding 1.8 goals on average during the same period. Auxerre, on the other hand, has struggled significantly in their recent fixtures. They have not scored in their last three matches, managing only a goalless draw against Lyon, coupled with losses to Angers and Marseille. Their offensive struggles are evident with a mere 0.4 goals scored on average in the last five games. Defensively, they have been leaky, allowing an average of 2.0 goals per match, which highlights their vulnerabilities at the back.

Final Prediction

Paris FC's superior form and home advantage give them a definitive edge over Auxerre. The key to Paris FC's potential success lies in their ability to capitalize on Auxerre's defensive frailties while maintaining a solid defense themselves. Fans should keep an eye on Paris FC's attacking prowess, which could prove decisive in securing a much-needed victory and climb up the Ligue 1 standings.