Ligue 1 2025-2026: Paris FC vs Nantes Prediction
Paris FC
Home Team
89%
VS
Nantes
Away Team
5%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Paris FC
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 1)
Nantes
- Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Paris FC
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.65
# Clean Sheets:
1
Nantes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.90
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Paris FC and Nantes heavily favors the home side, Paris FC, with a significant 89.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of a goal-filled match is also high, with a 61.0% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. Paris FC currently holds a strong position in the league, sitting second, while Nantes finds themselves struggling in the 15th spot.
Match Analysis
Paris FC comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of results from their last three outings: a narrow loss to Lens, a solid home win against Lorient, and a hard-fought draw away at Nice. Their offensive prowess is evident, having averaged over two goals per match in their recent encounters. Defensively, they have room for improvement, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game, yet they have managed to keep one clean sheet in the last five matches. Their expected goals metrics further underline their attacking capabilities, suggesting they are creating ample scoring opportunities.
On the other side, Nantes has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging only 0.5 goals in their last five games. Their recent form includes a loss to Lille, followed by two draws against Brest and Toulouse, both away. Despite maintaining a decent defensive record with only one goal conceded per game on average, Nantes' lack of offensive firepower is reflected in their low expected goals tally. The team has managed to keep one clean sheet in their recent outings but has been unable to convert defensive resilience into victories.
Final Prediction
Paris FC's superior attacking form and league position provide them with a clear edge over Nantes. The home side's ability to score consistently, coupled with Nantes' offensive struggles, makes Paris FC the favorites. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Paris FC can capitalize on their chances against a defensively sound but offensively challenged Nantes.