Ligue 1 2025-2026: Paris SG vs Le Havre Prediction
Paris SG
Home Team
98%
VS
Le Havre
Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
48%
No Goal:
52%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Paris SG
- Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 3 - 3)
Le Havre
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 6)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Paris SG
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.89
# Clean Sheets:
2
Le Havre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Paris SG and Le Havre is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, Paris SG, with a staggering 98.0% probability of winning. With the league leaders sitting comfortably at the top of the table, they are expected to continue their dominant form. Additionally, there's a 55.0% chance that the game will see over 2.5 goals, indicating an exciting match could be on the cards. On the other hand, Le Havre, positioned 12th, face an uphill battle.
Match Analysis
Paris SG has been in solid form recently, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three encounters. Their recent victories against Lyon and Nice highlight their attacking prowess and resilience, even when playing away. With an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches, their offensive capability is evident. Furthermore, their defense has been robust, conceding just 0.6 goals on average, which has led to two clean sheets in this period.
Le Havre, meanwhile, has shown a knack for defense, managing three clean sheets in their last five games. However, their attack has struggled, averaging only 0.6 goals per match. Recent performances include a victory over Brest and two draws against Nantes and Toulouse. Their defensive solidity will be tested against a Paris SG side known for their attacking flair, as Le Havre has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last five outings.
Final Prediction
Paris SG's edge in this matchup is underlined by their superior goal-scoring and defensive stats, which make them formidable opponents at home. Their top-of-the-table status and consistent performances add to their advantage. A key factor to watch will be how Le Havre's defense copes with the relentless Paris SG attack, as any lapse could lead to a high-scoring game.