Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction
Rennes
Home Team
70%
VS
Auxerre
Away Team
14%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 1)
Auxerre
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.78
# Clean Sheets:
1
Auxerre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.73
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
As Rennes prepares to face Auxerre, the odds are stacked in favor of the home team with a 70% probability of victory. The expected outcome is a Rennes win, with the game likely to feature more than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 53% probability. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Rennes occupies the 10th position, while Auxerre is struggling in 16th place, teetering close to the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Rennes comes into this match on the back of three consecutive draws, having shared the spoils against Le Havre, Lens, and Nantes. This series of draws highlights their resilience but also underscores their struggle to secure victories. In their recent performances, Rennes has demonstrated a balanced attack, averaging 1.33 goals per game, while maintaining defensive solidity with an average of just 0.33 goals conceded over the last five matches. However, their expected goals conceded suggest they might have been slightly fortunate defensively.
Auxerre, on the other hand, has had a more turbulent run, with two losses and a single win in their last three outings. They managed a narrow victory against Toulouse but suffered defeats to Lens and Paris SG. The statistics paint a concerning picture for Auxerre, with an average of only 0.33 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game in their last five. Despite generating a respectable number of expected goals, their inability to convert chances into actual goals has been a significant hindrance.
Final Prediction
The edge in this encounter lies with Rennes, whose consistent ability to avoid defeat and maintain tight defensive performances makes them favorites. The key factor to watch will be Rennes' attacking efficiency, as they aim to capitalize on Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities and finally convert their draws into a much-needed home victory.