Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Lorient Prediction
Rennes
Home Team
56%
VS
Lorient
Away Team
22%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 5th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 0)
Lorient
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
2
Lorient
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Rennes and Lorient in Ligue 1 is predicted to lean in favor of the home side, with Rennes having a 56.0% probability of securing the victory. The game is expected to be lively with a high chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, at a probability of 52.0%. Currently, Rennes sits in 6th place, showcasing their competitive edge, while Lorient is positioned at 12th, indicating their recent struggles.
Match Analysis
Rennes has demonstrated a solid performance in their recent encounters. They managed to win two of their last three matches, defeating Lille and Brest, while drawing against Le Havre. This indicates a positive trend, especially considering their average of 2.6 goals scored per match in the last five matches, showcasing their offensive prowess. Furthermore, Rennes has been relatively sturdy defensively, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded and achieving two clean sheets in their recent games.
On the other hand, Lorient's recent form has been less impressive. They have managed only one victory in their last three matches, triumphing over Monaco, but have drawn against Metz and Strasbourg. Lorient's struggles are evident in their lower scoring rate, averaging only 0.8 goals per game over the last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.4 goals. This disparity highlights the challenges they face in both offensive and defensive aspects.
Final Prediction
Rennes appears to have the upper hand in this matchup, with their recent form and scoring capability providing a significant advantage over Lorient. The key factor to watch will be Rennes' ability to maintain their offensive momentum and capitalize on Lorient's defensive vulnerabilities. Fans should be prepared for an exciting contest, with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities likely to unfold.