Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Monaco Prediction
Rennes
Home Team
28%
VS
Monaco
Away Team
50%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
Monaco
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 5 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.58
# Clean Sheets:
1
Monaco
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.82
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Rennes and Monaco sees Monaco as the favorite with a 50.0% probability of winning, while Rennes has a 28.0% chance of securing a victory. The probability of a draw stands at 22.0%. In terms of scoring, there's a likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 54.0%. Currently, Monaco sits at 6th place in Ligue 1, while Rennes is positioned 8th.
Match Analysis
Looking at recent performances, Rennes seems to be gaining momentum. They secured a solid away win over Paris FC and a convincing home victory against Strasbourg, followed by a draw with Toulouse. This recent form has propelled them to 8th in the standings, showcasing their capability to score goals, with an average of 2.0 goals per match over the last five games. However, they need to tighten their defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals.
Monaco, on the other hand, has had mixed results in their last three matches. They suffered back-to-back home losses to Lens and Paris FC but bounced back with a high-scoring away win against Nantes. Monaco's scoring prowess is evident, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense has been leaky, also conceding 1.8 goals per match, which may be a concern against an attacking Rennes side.
Final Prediction
Monaco's edge in this matchup comes from their slightly superior position in the standings and their recent high-scoring capability, as demonstrated in their match against Nantes. A key factor to watch will be how well Monaco's defense can hold against a Rennes side eager to capitalize on their recent form. With both teams showing a penchant for goals, fans can expect an exciting and competitive encounter.