Ligue 1 2025-2026: Strasbourg vs Lille Prediction
Strasbourg
Home Team
21%
VS
Lille
Away Team
61%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
62%
Under 2.5:
38%
Goal:
61%
No Goal:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 5 - 0)
Lille
- Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 6 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.79
# Clean Sheets:
2
Lille
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Strasbourg and Lille is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 61.0% probability of Lille securing a victory. In contrast, Strasbourg's chances of a home win stand at 21.0%, while the possibility of a draw is pegged at 18.0%. Currently, Lille sits in 4th place in Ligue 1 with 20 points, while Strasbourg occupies the 7th position with 19 points. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 62.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Match Analysis
Strasbourg has experienced a mixed run in their last three matches. They managed a convincing 3-0 win at home against Auxerre but suffered losses in their away fixtures, including a 1-4 defeat to Rennes and a narrow 1-2 loss against Lyon. Despite these setbacks, Strasbourg has shown a decent scoring ability, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings and maintaining two clean sheets. Their defensive frailties, however, are apparent, particularly in away games.
On the other hand, Lille has demonstrated an attacking prowess, especially highlighted by their 6-1 triumph over Metz. Their recent form includes a solid 1-0 win against Angers at home, although they fell 0-2 to Nice on the road. Lille averages 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches, showcasing their offensive capabilities. However, their defense remains slightly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the same period, despite achieving two clean sheets.
Final Prediction
Lille's edge over Strasbourg in this encounter largely stems from their superior recent performances and attacking form. Their ability to score consistently, coupled with their higher position in the league standings, gives them a significant advantage. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lille's attacking duo, as they could exploit Strasbourg's defensive weaknesses and tip the scales in Lille's favor.