Ligue 1 2025-2026: Toulouse vs Angers Prediction
Toulouse
Home Team
83%
VS
Angers
Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Toulouse
- Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 4 - 0)
Angers
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Toulouse
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.36
# Clean Sheets:
2
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.41
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Toulouse and Angers is predicted to favor the home side, Toulouse, with an 83.0% probability of victory. This strong likelihood is complemented by a 50.0% probability that the game will have fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair. Toulouse currently sits at 10th in the Ligue 1 standings with 16 points, while Angers is positioned at 13th with 13 points.
Match Analysis
Toulouse has been on a drawing streak in their last three matches, securing points against Lorient, Le Havre, and Rennes. Despite not securing a win, their consistency in scoring is evident with an average of 2.2 goals per game over their last five outings. Defensively, they have managed two clean sheets, indicating a balance between attack and defense. Their expected goals stats show an attacking prowess with an average of 1.95 expected goals scored, though they need to tighten up defensively, with an average of 1.356 expected goals conceded.
Angers, on the other hand, have shown mixed form, with a recent victory over Auxerre, a loss to Lille, and a draw against Marseille. Their scoring has been limited, averaging 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, but their defensive record matches Toulouse's with two clean sheets. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by an average of 2.408 expected goals conceded.
Final Prediction
Toulouse's edge in this matchup comes from their superior scoring ability and solid recent performances, even if they have not converted those into wins. Key to watch will be whether Toulouse can break through Angers' defense, which has shown resilience in recent games. This attacking depth gives Toulouse the upper hand and the potential to secure a much-needed win at home.