Ligue 1 2025-2026: Toulouse vs Strasbourg Prediction
Toulouse
Home Team
41%
VS
Strasbourg
Away Team
34%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Rennes | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Nice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 17 |
| 11 | Brest | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Angers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Lorient | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Nantes | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Metz | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Toulouse
- Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Toulouse
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.92
# Clean Sheets:
1
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.24
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Toulouse and Strasbourg is predicted to tilt in favor of the home side, Toulouse, who have a 41.0% probability of winning. Strasbourg, positioned 8th in the standings, faces a 34.0% chance of victory against Toulouse, who are currently 9th. With a 50% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, fans can expect an exciting, goal-filled encounter.
Match Analysis
Toulouse's recent performances indicate a mixed bag, with a draw against Marseille and Lorient, and a narrow defeat to Angers. Their ability to bounce back and score against strong opponents like Marseille suggests resilience, while their average goals scored (1.6) and expected goals (1.854) highlight their attacking potential. Defensively, they have maintained a decent record with an average of 1.0 goals conceded over the last five games.
Strasbourg, meanwhile, has experienced a recent dip with losses to Brest and Lens, albeit a commendable victory against Lille. With an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, they pose an offensive threat, but their defense has been susceptible, conceding an average of 2.4 goals in their last five outings. Their expected goals conceded (2.24) underscores potential vulnerabilities that Toulouse might exploit.
Final Prediction
Toulouse's slight edge is attributed to their balanced performance both offensively and defensively, combined with Strasbourg's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch will be Toulouse's ability to capitalize on their chances against a Strasbourg defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets. Expect a competitive match where Toulouse's home advantage and recent resilience could play a decisive role.