Premier League 2025-2026: Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction
Arsenal
Home Team
80%
VS
Brentford
Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Man City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Brighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Man United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Tottenham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Arsenal
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 0)
Brentford
- Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Arsenal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.53
# Clean Sheets:
2
Brentford
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.01
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Arsenal and Brentford is predicted to swing heavily in favor of the home team, Arsenal, with an 80% probability of victory. The match is also expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 46% probability for this outcome. Arsenal currently tops the Premier League, while Brentford sits at 10th, adding to the challenge for the visiting team.
Match Analysis
Arsenal's recent form has been impressive, with a solid home victory against Tottenham and away draws against Chelsea and Sunderland. Their offensive power is evident with an average of 2.2 goals scored in the last five matches, while their defense has remained tight with only 0.4 goals conceded on average. Arsenal's ability to create scoring opportunities is highlighted by their expected goals tally of 1.96 over the same period, paired with two clean sheets in the last five games.
Brentford, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results. They secured wins against Burnley and Newcastle at home but fell short against Brighton away. Brentford's attack has averaged 1 goal per game in the last five outings, with expected goals at 1.754, suggesting they might need to capitalize more on their chances. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding 1.8 goals on average, and have not managed a clean sheet in recent performances.
Final Prediction
Arsenal's strong form, both offensively and defensively, gives them a clear edge in this matchup. Their league-leading position and recent performances indicate they are well-placed to secure a win against Brentford. A key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to maintain their defensive solidity, which could be crucial in shutting down Brentford's attempts to upset the odds.