Premier League 2025-2026: Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Arsenal

Home Team
81%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
8%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 15 3 12 19
2 Man City 8 5 1 2 17 6 11 16
3 Bournemouth 8 4 3 1 14 11 3 15
4 Liverpool 8 5 0 3 14 11 3 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 16 9 7 14
6 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 14 7 7 14
7 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 9 6 3 14
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 4 1 12 8 4 13
9 Man United 8 4 1 3 11 12 -1 13
10 Brighton 8 3 3 2 12 11 1 12
11 Aston Villa 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
12 Everton 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
13 Brentford 8 3 1 4 11 12 -1 10
14 Newcastle 8 2 3 3 7 7 0 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
16 Leeds 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
17 Burnley 8 2 1 5 9 15 -6 7
18 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 5 15 -10 5
19 West Ham 8 1 1 6 6 18 -12 4
20 Wolves 8 0 2 6 5 16 -11 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.61
# Clean Sheets: 3

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Arsenal and Crystal Palace is heavily tipped in favor of Arsenal, with an 81.0% probability of a home victory. The game is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% chance of surpassing this threshold. Arsenal currently sit at the top of the Premier League table, while Crystal Palace is positioned in 8th place.

Match Analysis

Arsenal's recent form is impressive, showcasing a solid winning streak in their last three matches, including victories against Fulham, West Ham, and Newcastle. The Gunners have been dominant defensively, keeping clean sheets in two of these encounters, and their attack has been in fine form, averaging 2.75 goals per game over the last five matches. Their defensive solidity is reflected in their low average of 0.25 goals conceded per match recently, underlining their balanced approach on both ends of the pitch. In contrast, Crystal Palace's recent performances have been more mixed. They managed a thrilling draw against Bournemouth, a loss to Everton, and a notable victory over Liverpool. While their attack has been moderately effective, averaging 1.5 goals per game, they have shown some vulnerabilities in defense, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per match. Despite these challenges, Palace's expected goals metrics suggest they are capable of creating quality chances, which could make the game competitive.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's balanced play, characterized by a potent attack and a solid defense, gives them a significant edge heading into the match. The key factor to watch will be Arsenal's ability to maintain their defensive resilience against a Crystal Palace side that has shown flashes of attacking threat. With their current form and league standing, Arsenal are well-positioned to continue their winning momentum.