Premier League 2024-2025: Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction

Aston Villa

Home Team
81%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
8%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 36 25 8 3 83 37 46 83
2 Arsenal 36 18 14 4 66 33 33 68
3 Newcastle 36 20 6 10 68 45 23 66
4 Man City 36 19 8 9 67 43 24 65
5 Chelsea 36 18 9 9 62 43 19 63
6 Aston Villa 36 18 9 9 56 49 7 63
7 Nott'm Forest 36 18 8 10 56 44 12 62
8 Brentford 36 16 7 13 63 53 10 55
9 Brighton 36 14 13 9 59 56 3 55
10 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55 43 12 53
11 Fulham 36 14 9 13 51 50 1 51
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46 48 -2 49
13 Everton 36 9 15 12 39 44 -5 42
14 Wolves 36 12 5 19 51 64 -13 41
15 West Ham 36 10 10 16 42 59 -17 40
16 Man United 36 10 9 17 42 53 -11 39
17 Tottenham 36 11 5 20 63 59 4 38
18 Ipswich 36 4 10 22 35 77 -42 22
19 Leicester 36 5 7 24 31 78 -47 22
20 Southampton 36 2 6 28 25 82 -57 12

Recent Trends

Aston Villa ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 0)

Tottenham ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.43
# Clean Sheets: 3

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Aston Villa is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Tottenham, with an 81.0% probability of victory. The game is predicted to have more than 2.5 goals, aligning with a 54.0% probability for such an outcome. Currently, Aston Villa holds the 6th position in the Premier League standings, while Tottenham is struggling in the relegation zone at 17th place.

Match Analysis

In their last three matches, Aston Villa has shown a solid form, securing victories against Bournemouth and Fulham, both with clean sheets. Their lone setback came in a closely contested game against Manchester City, where they narrowly lost 2-1. Aston Villa's recent performances are underpinned by a strong defense, having kept three clean sheets in their last five games and conceding an average of only 1.0 goal per match. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game, supported by their expected goals metric of 2.136. Tottenham, on the other hand, is on a less favorable trajectory. They suffered defeats against Crystal Palace and Liverpool, conceding a total of seven goals in these matches. Their sole point from the last three matches came from a draw against West Ham. Tottenham’s defensive frailties are highlighted by an average of 2.6 goals conceded per game, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings. Offensively, they have struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game, despite an expected goals figure of 1.16.

Final Prediction

Aston Villa's edge in this matchup is primarily due to their recent strong form and solid defensive record, which contrasts sharply with Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of attacking threat. Fans should watch how Aston Villa capitalizes on Tottenham's defensive struggles, as this could be a key factor determining the outcome of the match.