Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction

Aston Villa

Home Team
85%
VS

Wolves

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 24 6 18 29
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 11 12 23
3 Man City 12 7 1 4 24 10 14 22
4 Aston Villa 12 6 3 3 15 11 4 21
5 Crystal Palace 12 5 5 2 16 9 7 20
6 Brighton 12 5 4 3 19 16 3 19
7 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 14 11 3 19
8 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 19 20 -1 19
9 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 14 6 18
10 Man United 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
11 Everton 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
12 Liverpool 12 6 0 6 18 20 -2 18
13 Brentford 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
14 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 13 15 -2 15
15 Fulham 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 20 -7 12
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Leeds 12 3 2 7 11 22 -11 11
19 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 24 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 0 2 10 7 27 -20 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 2

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Aston Villa is poised to secure a victory with a dominating 85.0% probability, as they face off against Wolves this weekend. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a 48.0% chance of the game ending with under 2.5 goals. Aston Villa currently sits in a strong 4th position in the Premier League, while Wolves languish at the bottom of the table in 20th place.

Match Analysis

Aston Villa has demonstrated solid form in recent weeks, winning two of their last three matches. They managed a convincing 4-0 victory at home against Bournemouth and edged out Leeds 2-1 on the road. Despite a setback with a 2-0 loss to Liverpool, their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.0 goals per match in the last five games. Villa's defense has also been commendable, with two clean sheets in the same period. In stark contrast, Wolves have struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last three outings and not scoring a single goal. They suffered defeats against Crystal Palace, Chelsea, and Fulham, conceding a total of eight goals. Wolves' attacking woes are highlighted by an average of just 0.2 goals per game in their last five matches, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet.

Final Prediction

The prediction heavily favors Aston Villa due to their superior form and position in the league standings. Their recent performances, marked by effective goal-scoring and solid defensive displays, give them a clear edge over a Wolves side struggling on all fronts. A key factor to watch in this match will be Aston Villa's ability to capitalize on Wolves' defensive frailties and maintain their strong home record.